Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes

2.9 % chance

97.1 % chance

$10.7K

Trading opened Sep 22, 2025 23:39 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 → all 89 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

2.9 %chance
Yes 2.9¢ · No 97.1¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.5¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

3.0¢

Yes price now

12.5¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

214

Smart money

Top holders

sc…ogNo82,193
ai…esYes295,538
do…meNo53,658
AnonymousYes270,361
Vi…axNo49,229

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Create account to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.