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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Minnesota be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$238.62
8

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.1 %chance
  • Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
6.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • xt…meYes438.3
  • Lu…ysNo100.9
  • go…94No85.6
  • ba…arNo70
  • Vi…axNo45.2

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Will Minnesota be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank