Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
2.8 % chance
No
97.2 % chance
$114.28
6
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.8 %chance
- Yes 2.8¢ · No 97.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.8¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
5
Top holders
- a…zNo59
- Sl…geNo16.7
- xt…meYes83.2
- ri…eeYes37.4
- .M…heYes50
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