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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts 12:34 UTC

Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$1.7K
29

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.7 %chance
  • Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

23.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
22.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
46
Smart money
27

Top holders

  • ba…arNo217.9
  • Vi…axNo220
  • 1w…usYes381.2
  • Sn…erNo210.1
  • Sh…emNo147.7

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Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank