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PoliticsMerz Out

Question

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$118.10
4

Trading opened Sep 15, 2026 20:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
8.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Go…IaNo12,074
  • Th…MANo11,321
  • 18…utNo8,581
  • a…3No7,030
  • ne…23Yes16,288

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank