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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Ohio (Special) be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
6.2 % chance
No
93.8 % chance
$631.62
9

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 6.2 %chance
  • Yes 6.2¢ · No 93.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.2¢
Yes price now
3.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • re…26Yes631.7
  • Lu…ysNo94.7
  • go…94No85
  • ba…arNo70
  • xt…meYes212.4

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Will Ohio (Special) be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank