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Politics · US electionsmidterm

Question

Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM?

Live

Yes
99.3 % chance
No
0.7 % chance
$423.76
8

Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 22:19 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

AP calls the House by...? → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 99.3 %chance
  • Yes 99.3¢ · No 0.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

93.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.3¢
Yes price now
5.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • D…KYes980.3
  • Fa…onYes303
  • 42…esNo721
  • fl…teYes128.4
  • an…29Yes91

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Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank