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Question

Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes
4.3 % chance
No
95.7 % chance
$331.32
9

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place → all 51 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.3 %chance
  • Yes 4.3¢ · No 95.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.3¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo335.4
  • ni…q3Yes904
  • ba…arNo154.3
  • e…3No139
  • go…94No135

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Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank