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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Idaho be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$184.58
6

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • xt…meYes413.4
  • ha…ayNo85
  • Lu…ysNo65
  • Da…ncNo51.7
  • Du…atNo40

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Will Idaho be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank