Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$450.17
15
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
1.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
10
Top holders
- mi…baNo108.8
- a…zNo77.3
- Vi…axNo70
- Lu…ysNo60.7
- pl…erNo60
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