Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes

13.2 % chance

86.8 % chance

$167.87

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

13.2 %chance
Yes 13.2¢ · No 86.8¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

11.8¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

13.3¢

Yes price now

1.4¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

st…04Yes1,251
in…thNo370.2
Ra…ODYes1,483
no…erNo308
xt…meNo290.2

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