Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
Live
Yes
2.0 % chance
No
98.0 % chance
$221.45
13
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.0 %chance
- Yes 2.0¢ · No 98.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.0¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
10
Top holders
- pl…erNo60
- a…zNo21.7
- Re…deNo16.7
- xt…meYes83.2
- Eu…erNo6.1
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