Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
12.4 % chance
No
87.6 % chance
$220.38
12
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.4 %chance
- Yes 12.4¢ · No 87.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.4¢
Yes price now
11.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
7
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- pl…erNo30
- Ea…reNo16.7
- Co…veNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
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