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Politics · GeopoliticsNorth Korea missile test

Question

Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?

Live

Yes
34.0 % chance
No
66.0 % chance
$862.67
37

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 34.0 %chance
  • Yes 34.0¢ · No 66.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

37.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
34.0¢
Yes price now
3.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
76
Smart money
31

Top holders

  • A…VNo830.3
  • Fa…anYes659.6
  • Sp…03Yes386
  • R…bNo216.2
  • AnonymousYes175

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Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank