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PoliticsMerz Out

Question

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?

Live

Yes
36.0 % chance
No
64.0 % chance
$1.0K
9

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 13:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 36.0 %chance
  • Yes 36.0¢ · No 64.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

39.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
36.0¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
8

Top holders

  • v…iNo1,173
  • Ki…ngYes1,056
  • mo…ilNo890.2
  • d…1No668.4
  • Fi…owNo594.3

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank