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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Arkansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
1.2 % chance
No
98.8 % chance
$203.69
8

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.2 %chance
  • Yes 1.2¢ · No 98.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.2¢
Yes price now
2.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • Du…atNo499
  • xt…meYes890.6
  • Lu…ysNo100.9
  • gr…19No85
  • me…48No50

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Will Arkansas be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank