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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 45% or more?

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.6¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Tagged holders
0

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo197.1
  • sm…ptNo85
  • pl…erNo85
  • gm…mgNo27.9
  • e…3No26.9

See who's really positioned here

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 45% or more? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank