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Question

Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes
9.6 % chance
No
90.4 % chance
$552.85
13

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place → all 51 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 9.6 %chance
  • Yes 9.6¢ · No 90.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.6¢
Yes price now
7.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo383.9
  • Zi…ooYes971.9
  • mi…27No165
  • ba…arNo154.3
  • Ju…reNo151.8

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Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank