Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$268.65
15
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
12
Top holders
- pl…erNo60
- a…zNo21.7
- So…amNo16.7
- In…toNo16.7
- xt…meYes103.9
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