Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$187.17
11
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.1 %chance
- Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
1.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
8
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- Vi…axNo60
- pl…erNo30
- xt…meYes146.1
- So…seNo16.7
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