Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.5 % chance
No
98.5 % chance
$166.87
9
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.5 %chance
- Yes 1.5¢ · No 98.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
6
Top holders
- a…zNo48.3
- pl…erNo30
- Gu…neNo22.9
- Ea…gsNo16.7
- ba…hrYes69.3
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