Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$230.13
15
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
9
Top holders
- a…zNo66.4
- pl…erNo60
- ri…eeNo50
- xt…meYes160.1
- Lu…ysNo25
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…