Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Live
Yes
82.5 % chance
No
17.5 % chance
$146.1K
278
Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 13:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 82.5 %chance
- Yes 82.5¢ · No 17.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
84.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
82.5¢
Yes price now
2.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
584
Smart money
169
Top holders
- dr…yyYes26,611
- be…ckYes24,649
- bi…erNo33,450
- AnonymousNo31,272
- an…23Yes13,029
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