Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?
Live
Yes
1.0 % chance
No
99.0 % chance
$228.39
11
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.0 %chance
- Yes 1.0¢ · No 99.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.0¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
7
Top holders
- a…zNo67.5
- pl…erNo30
- Ki…inNo22.9
- Gu…onNo16.7
- xt…meYes131.6
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