Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz shipping targeted
Question
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026?
Live
Yes
72.0 % chance
No
28.0 % chance
$273.44
7
Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 23:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...? → all 31 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 72.0 %chance
- Yes 72.0¢ · No 28.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
49.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
72.0¢
Yes price now
22.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
5
Top holders
- Ra…llYes371.7
- A…VNo166.1
- Ha…thNo99.9
- AM…13No80
- Si…ceYes56.8
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