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Tech · AIAI BenchmarksMax Chatbot Arena

Question

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

Live

Yes
7.6 % chance
No
92.4 % chance
$23.16
3

Trading opened Jan 2, 2026 18:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 7.6 %chance
  • Yes 7.6¢ · No 92.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

16.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.6¢
Yes price now
8.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • li…s1No500.6
  • Ba…ouNo398.9
  • l…hNo290
  • Ju…edNo230.1
  • pa…r1No190.3

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Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank