Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%?
Live
Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$40.33
4
Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.8 %chance
- Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
25.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.8¢
Yes price now
24.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Tagged holders
1
Top holders
- kS…tjYes439.1
- Lu…ysNo197.1
- qu…elNo170
- xt…meYes325.5
- ba…arNo100
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