Politics · US electionsTexas Senate
Question
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Live
Yes
37.0 % chance
No
63.0 % chance
$61.5K
106
Trading opened Oct 13, 2025 21:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 37.0 %chance
- Yes 37.0¢ · No 63.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
51.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
37.0¢
Yes price now
14.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
164
Smart money
56
Top holders
- bo…otYes237,373
- wa…23No174,558
- ch…esYes95,000
- Ar…uyYes73,696
- te…seNo51,290
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