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Politics · US electionsmidterm

Question

Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?

Live

Yes
99.9 % chance
No
0.1 % chance
$2.5K
29

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 14:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC

AP calls the House by...? → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 99.9 %chance
  • Yes 99.9¢ · No 0.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

92.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.9¢
Yes price now
7.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
33
Smart money
21

Top holders

  • Be…shYes2,772
  • D…KYes1,259
  • 42…esNo2,778
  • Fa…onYes391
  • Fr…ayYes160.8

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Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank