Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$561.75
19
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
5.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
12
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo74.6
- Vi…axNo70
- pl…erNo60
- xt…meYes160
- 12…56No56
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