Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 5%-15%?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$40.94
4
Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Tagged holders
3
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo197.1
- sm…ptNo95
- mi…27No85
- Ju…reNo34.7
- xt…meYes138.6
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