Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?
Live
Yes
99.4 % chance
No
0.6 % chance
$125.1K
175
Trading opened Oct 15, 2026 00:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 17, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 99.4 %chance
- Yes 99.4¢ · No 0.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
97.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.4¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
283
Smart money
82
Top holders
- co…ryYes44,614
- sd…kyYes20,000
- Lu…erYes18,009
- Do…eZYes10,555
- wu…dhYes10,000
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