Politics · Middle EastOil
Question
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Live
Yes
88.5 % chance
No
11.5 % chance
$9.5K
15
Trading opened Jul 8, 2026 18:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Feb 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 88.5 %chance
- Yes 88.5¢ · No 11.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
61.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
88.5¢
Yes price now
26.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
12
Top holders
- an…23Yes9,334
- eN…tsYes8,513
- Th…meYes5,170
- an…23No10,687
- Id…chNo5,602
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