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Weather · Earthquakes5.5 Earthquake

Question

Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
13.5 % chance
No
86.5 % chance
$168.60
11

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 13.5 %chance
  • Yes 13.5¢ · No 86.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.5¢
Yes price now
5.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo70
  • Ju…reNo52
  • go…33No40
  • No…otYes117
  • ha…ayNo10

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Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank