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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Michigan be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
9.1 % chance
No
90.9 % chance
$223.71
11

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 9.1 %chance
  • Yes 9.1¢ · No 90.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.1¢
Yes price now
3.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • xt…meYes767
  • Lu…ysNo152.5
  • go…94No85
  • re…26No77
  • ne…meNo71.6

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Will Michigan be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank