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World · Economy & the FedRBNZReserve Bank of New Zealand Decision

Question

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?

Live

Yes
5.1 % chance
No
94.9 % chance
$198.46
5

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 00:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 17, 2027 23:59 UTC

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.1 %chance
  • Yes 5.1¢ · No 94.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.1¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • po…odNo90.1
  • xt…meYes186.2
  • Fa…anNo22
  • Ad…stNo21
  • Lu…ysNo20

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Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank