Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
3.8 % chance
No
96.2 % chance
$10.1K
27
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 16:38 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80? → all 2 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.8 %chance
- Yes 3.8¢ · No 96.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.8¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
21
Top holders
- C…BNo7,020
- No…otNo1,009
- Ar…lyYes4,000
- ba…arNo530
- AnonymousNo314.5
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