Politics · Middle East
Question
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Live
Yes
5.3 % chance
No
94.7 % chance
$54.3K
25
Trading opened Aug 21, 2026 07:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.3 %chance
- Yes 5.3¢ · No 94.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.8¢
Yes price now
4.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
13
Top holders
- hy…luNo100,000
- Re…ekYes211,254
- Ti…odNo45,200
- Al…eoNo40,000
- zt…ryNo36,207
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