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Question

Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$379.92
8

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place → all 51 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.6 %chance
  • Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.6¢
Yes price now
2.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo383.9
  • e…3No151.8
  • C…MNo135
  • a…zNo51.5
  • Lu…ysNo51

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Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank