Politics · US electionsmidterm
Question
Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?
Live
Yes
98.1 % chance
No
1.9 % chance
$1.7K
26
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 14:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 98.1 %chance
- Yes 98.1¢ · No 1.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
69.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.1¢
Yes price now
28.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
22
Top holders
- Su…HRYes868.6
- 42…esNo726.2
- St…erYes250
- li…thYes465.3
- be…inYes201.2
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