Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?

Live

Yes

0.8 % chance

99.2 % chance

$278.35

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.8 %chance
Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.4¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

0.8¢

Yes price now

0.4¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

pl…erNo60
a…zNo40
Ir…elNo22.9
Wo…ntNo16.7
xt…meYes70

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