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Weather · Earthquakes6.5 Earthquake Weekly

Question

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
16.7 % chance
No
83.3 % chance
$207.59
15

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 16.7 %chance
  • Yes 16.7¢ · No 83.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.7¢
Yes price now
16.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
11

Top holders

  • ye…atNo333.3
  • gr…tsNo73.8
  • m…dNo51
  • So…anNo51
  • Hi…alNo45

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Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank