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Politics · US elections

Question

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?

Live

Yes
1.7 % chance
No
98.3 % chance
$676.68
25

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.7 %chance
  • Yes 1.7¢ · No 98.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.7¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
24

Top holders

  • mi…baNo170
  • a…zNo77.3
  • Vi…axNo70
  • Lu…ysNo64
  • Va…erYes234.2

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank