Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?
Live
Yes
1.7 % chance
No
98.3 % chance
$676.68
25
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.7 %chance
- Yes 1.7¢ · No 98.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.7¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
43
Smart money
24
Top holders
- mi…baNo170
- a…zNo77.3
- Vi…axNo70
- Lu…ysNo64
- Va…erYes234.2
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