Politics · US politics
Question
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
12.5 % chance
No
87.5 % chance
$4.5K
28
Trading opened Feb 17, 2026 16:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.5 %chance
- Yes 12.5¢ · No 87.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.5¢
Yes price now
16.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
18
Top holders
- Im…enNo118,517
- Ar…uyYes49,963
- th…drNo45,819
- zt…ryNo27,845
- Er…s.Yes36,834
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