Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC
Yes
39.0 % chance
No
61.0 % chance
$11.2K
47
Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 10 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 39.0 %chance
- Yes 39.0¢ · No 61.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
39.0¢
Yes price now
10.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
81
Smart money
35
Top holders
- n…1No20,000
- la…vaYes24,602
- Pe…ewNo6,291
- Re…ekYes8,526
- si…anNo2,687
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