Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Live

Yes

25.0 % chance

75.0 % chance

$442.96

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

25.0 %chance
Yes 25.0¢ · No 75.0¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

22.3¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

25.0¢

Yes price now

2.7¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

ju…atYes311.6
xt…meYes203
a…zNo66.4
Vi…axNo70
pl…erNo60

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