Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
1.4 % chance
No
98.6 % chance
$126.28
9
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.4 %chance
- Yes 1.4¢ · No 98.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.4¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
7
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- pl…erNo30
- Wo…seNo16.7
- Ic…utNo16.7
- xt…meYes105.6
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