World · Ukraine & RussiaRussia
Question
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
Live
Yes
21.5 % chance
No
78.5 % chance
$5.2K
77
Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 16:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...? → all 2 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 21.5 %chance
- Yes 21.5¢ · No 78.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.5¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
124
Smart money
43
Top holders
- GO…96No1,437
- ou…esYes2,250
- An…onNo1,000
- Tr…geNo824.5
- oi…69No767.5
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