Politics · Global elections
Question
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?
Live · starts 13:18 UTC
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$908.79
21
Trading opened Apr 30, 2026 00:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
4.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
20
Top holders
- Vi…axNo259.4
- gr…19No218.5
- go…94No105.8
- il…evNo100
- go…26No97.2
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