Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?
Live
Yes
98.3 % chance
No
1.7 % chance
$29.5K
123
Trading opened Sep 29, 2026 16:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 98.3 %chance
- Yes 98.3¢ · No 1.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
92.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.3¢
Yes price now
5.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
157
Smart money
47
Top holders
- ti…y.Yes9,619
- Ob…62Yes9,000
- wu…dhYes7,000
- Su…n6Yes6,551
- ED…99Yes6,005
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